Worthing 2-1 Aveley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Nov 2024

📅05/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.38
Over 2.5
63%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.99
2-3 Goals
36%
1.95
4-5 Goals
30%
2.76
6+ Goals
13%
7.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
63%
-6.1pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.2pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.3pp
37%
Under 2.5
38%
-0.6pp
63%
Over 2.5
62%
+0.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.2pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Worthing EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Aveley EU Bookmakers 20%
+9% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
2.11/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/2.32
+14% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -24%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
411 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Worthing
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Aveley
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
72% Ball Possession 28%
18 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.02.2024 Aveley Aveley 0-3 HT 0-1 Worthing Worthing İCON
19.08.2023 Worthing Worthing 1-2 HT 0-2 Aveley Aveley İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Worthing
2-1
AWAY Aveley
66% Ball Possession 34%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Worthing vs Aveley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worthing squeezed past Aveley 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Worthing as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

On the day, Worthing had 66% of the ball to Aveley's 34%, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Worthing and 1.00 for Aveley.

What was the final score of Worthing vs Aveley?

Worthing 2-1 Aveley in the England - Conference on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Worthing vs Aveley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Worthing win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Worthing 57%, draw 20%, Aveley 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Worthing), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Worthing) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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