Spennymoor Town 3-2 Scunthorpe United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Nov 2024

📅05/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.78
2-3 Goals
33%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.19
6+ Goals
9%
20.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 37% vs market 30.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
33%
-1.6pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.9pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-3.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.0pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spennymoor Town EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Scunthorpe United EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.42/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.03
+7% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spennymoor Town
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Scunthorpe United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.03.2024 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İCON
24.10.2023 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 6-0 HT 3-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spennymoor Town
3-2
AWAY Scunthorpe United
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Spennymoor Town vs Scunthorpe United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spennymoor Town squeezed past Scunthorpe United 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 31% / 37% — and on the day Spennymoor Town made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Spennymoor Town had 47% of the ball to Scunthorpe United's 53%, shots finished 8-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Spennymoor Town and 3.00 for Scunthorpe United.

What was the final score of Spennymoor Town vs Scunthorpe United?

Spennymoor Town 3-2 Scunthorpe United in the England - Conference on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spennymoor Town vs Scunthorpe United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Scunthorpe United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Spennymoor Town 32%, draw 31%, Scunthorpe United 37%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Scunthorpe United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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