Kings Lynn Town 0-2 Farsley AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Nov 2024

📅05/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.98
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.92
6+ Goals
9%
17.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 31% vs market 27.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-2.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.5pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kings Lynn Town EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Farsley AFC EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +5%
1.99/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.71
+12% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
412 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kings Lynn Town
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Farsley AFC
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.02.2024 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
02.09.2023 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 0-0 HT 0-0 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town İCON
07.03.2023 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
06.12.2022 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 2-0 HT 2-0 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kings Lynn Town
0-2
AWAY Farsley AFC
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kings Lynn Town vs Farsley AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farsley AFC got the better of Kings Lynn Town 2-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kings Lynn Town at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Kings Lynn Town had 62% of the ball to Farsley AFC's 38%, shots finished 16-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Farsley AFC led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Kings Lynn Town and 1.00 for Farsley AFC.

What was the final score of Kings Lynn Town vs Farsley AFC?

Kings Lynn Town 0-2 Farsley AFC in the England - Conference on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kings Lynn Town vs Farsley AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kings Lynn Town win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Kings Lynn Town 55%, draw 24%, Farsley AFC 20%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kings Lynn Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kings Lynn Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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