Weston-super-Mare 1-1 Weymouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Nov 2024

📅05/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.13
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.75
6+ Goals
8%
15.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 31% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-5.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.4pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Weymouth EU Bookmakers 22%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +15%
2.27/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.67
+27% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
414 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weston-super-Mare
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Weymouth
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
01.01.2024 Weymouth Weymouth 3-3 HT 1-2 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
26.12.2023 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 2-3 HT 2-2 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Weston-super-Mare
1-1
AWAY Weymouth
55% Ball Possession 45%
4 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Weston-super-Mare vs Weymouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weston-super-Mare and Weymouth couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Weston-super-Mare at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Weston-super-Mare had 55% of the ball to Weymouth's 45%, shots finished 4-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Weymouth led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Weston-super-Mare and 3.00 for Weymouth.

What was the final score of Weston-super-Mare vs Weymouth?

Weston-super-Mare 1-1 Weymouth in the England - Conference on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weston-super-Mare vs Weymouth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Weston-super-Mare win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Weston-super-Mare 51%, draw 23%, Weymouth 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Weston-super-Mare), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Weston-super-Mare) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
5 Nov 2024
22:45 Spennymoor Town vs Scunthorpe United Analysis →
22:45 Slough Town vs Bath City Analysis →
22:45 Eastbourne Borough vs Welling United Analysis →
22:45 Salisbury vs Torquay United Analysis →
22:45 Worthing vs Aveley Analysis →
22:45 Dorking Wanderers vs Maidstone United Analysis →