Spennymoor Town 1-0 Scunthorpe United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Mar 2024

📅26/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
43%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.65
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.42
6+ Goals
6%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+2.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.8pp
43%
Away Win
49%
-5.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spennymoor Town EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Scunthorpe United EU Bookmakers 53%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -12%
1.02/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.17
-18% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +7%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
219 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spennymoor Town
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Scunthorpe United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 6.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.10.2023 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 6-0 HT 3-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
POST-MATCH Spennymoor Town vs Scunthorpe United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spennymoor Town squeezed past Scunthorpe United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Scunthorpe United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

What was the final score of Spennymoor Town vs Scunthorpe United?

Spennymoor Town 1-0 Scunthorpe United in the England - Conference on 26/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spennymoor Town vs Scunthorpe United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Scunthorpe United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Spennymoor Town 26%, draw 30%, Scunthorpe United 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Scunthorpe United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Scunthorpe United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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