Weston-super-Mare 0-3 Farnborough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Mar 2024

📅26/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
31%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.76
No
42%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.02
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.87
6+ Goals
11%
17.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+4.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.1pp
31%
Away Win
38%
-7.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.9pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Farnborough EU Bookmakers 42%
+9% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -33%
1.43/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.62
+7% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weston-super-Mare
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Farnborough
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Farnborough Farnborough 0-1 HT 0-1 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare FAK
26.08.2023 Farnborough Farnborough 3-0 HT 1-0 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
19.03.2022 Farnborough Farnborough 1-1 HT 1-0 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İNGNLP
25.01.2022 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 2-2 HT 0-1 Farnborough Farnborough İNGNLP
09.12.2014 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 4-3 HT 2-1 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Weston-super-Mare
0-3
AWAY Farnborough
72% Ball Possession 28%
6 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Weston-super-Mare vs Farnborough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farnborough ran out comfortable winners over Weston-super-Mare 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Farnborough made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Weston-super-Mare had 72% of the ball to Farnborough's 28%, shots finished 6-7.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Weston-super-Mare had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Weston-super-Mare and 1.80 for Farnborough.

What was the final score of Weston-super-Mare vs Farnborough?

Weston-super-Mare 0-3 Farnborough in the England - Conference on 26/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weston-super-Mare vs Farnborough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Weston-super-Mare win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Weston-super-Mare 39%, draw 30%, Farnborough 31%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Weston-super-Mare) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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