Peterborough Sports 1-3 Warrington Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Mar 2024

📅26/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.5
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.41
6+ Goals
9%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 28% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-5.4pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.3pp
35%
Away Win
35%
+0.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.8pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough Sports EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Warrington Town EU Bookmakers 38%
+10% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.58/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.06
+10% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
279 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough Sports
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Warrington Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
28.10.2023 Warrington Town Warrington Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterborough Sports
1-3
AWAY Warrington Town
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Peterborough Sports vs Warrington Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Warrington Town saw off Peterborough Sports 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 32% / 35% — and on the day Warrington Town made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Peterborough Sports had 58% of the ball to Warrington Town's 42%, shots finished 14-12.

What was the final score of Peterborough Sports vs Warrington Town?

Peterborough Sports 1-3 Warrington Town in the England - Conference on 26/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough Sports vs Warrington Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Warrington Town win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Peterborough Sports 33%, draw 32%, Warrington Town 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Warrington Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Warrington Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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