Aveley 0-3 Worthing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 3 Feb 2024

Aveley
0-3 HT 0-1
Worthing
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - Conference – 2023/2024

Aveley vs Worthing Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
37%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.05
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.06
6+ Goals
10%
9.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
37%
Away Win
45%
-7.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aveley v Worthing — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aveley EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Worthing EU Bookmakers 49%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.20/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.34
-8% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5

Aveley vs Worthing Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aveley
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Worthing
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
28% Ball Possession 72%
4 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.08.2023 Worthing Worthing 1-2 HT 0-2 Aveley Aveley İCON
POST-MATCH Aveley vs Worthing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worthing cruised past Aveley 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Worthing made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Aveley vs Worthing?

Aveley 0-3 Worthing in the England - Conference on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aveley vs Worthing?

Before kick-off our model rated an Worthing win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Aveley 36%, draw 27%, Worthing 37%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Worthing) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Worthing) ✗ BTTS Yes
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