Welling United 0-1 Eastbourne Borough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.94
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.14
6+ Goals
9%
10.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.94 — our 28% vs market 20.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+5.6pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-3.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.9pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Welling United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastbourne Borough EU Bookmakers 43%
-6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -23%
1.27/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.31
-4% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Welling United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Eastbourne Borough
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2023 Welling United Welling United 0-2 HT 0-1 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
23.09.2023 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 2-2 HT 1-0 Welling United Welling United İCON
10.04.2023 Welling United Welling United 1-0 HT 1-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
13.09.2022 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 0-1 HT 0-0 Welling United Welling United İCON
15.04.2022 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 3-3 HT 3-0 Welling United Welling United İCON
04.12.2021 Welling United Welling United 0-2 HT 0-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Welling United
0-1
AWAY Eastbourne Borough
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Welling United vs Eastbourne Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastbourne Borough squeezed past Welling United 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 36% — and on the day Eastbourne Borough made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Welling United had 56% of the ball to Eastbourne Borough's 44%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Welling United and 1.50 for Eastbourne Borough.

What was the final score of Welling United vs Eastbourne Borough?

Welling United 0-1 Eastbourne Borough in the England - Conference on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Welling United vs Eastbourne Borough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Welling United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Welling United 40%, draw 24%, Eastbourne Borough 36%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Welling United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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