Radcliffe Borough 1-2 Warrington Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
38%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.92
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.15
6+ Goals
10%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.92 — our 28% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
46%
-14.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.6pp
38%
Away Win
28%
+10.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.2pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radcliffe Borough EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Warrington Town EU Bookmakers 31%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.99/2.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.30
+31% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +70% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
374 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radcliffe Borough
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Warrington Town
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Warrington Town Warrington Town 1-2 HT 1-0 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough FAK
04.04.2023 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough 0-3 HT 0-0 Warrington Town Warrington Town İNGNLP
01.10.2022 Warrington Town Warrington Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough İNGNLP
26.03.2022 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough 0-2 HT 0-1 Warrington Town Warrington Town İNGNLP
14.12.2021 Warrington Town Warrington Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough İNGNLP
17.10.2020 Warrington Town Warrington Town 2-1 HT 2-0 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radcliffe Borough
1-2
AWAY Warrington Town
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Radcliffe Borough vs Warrington Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Warrington Town edged past Radcliffe Borough 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Warrington Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Radcliffe Borough had 52% of the ball to Warrington Town's 48%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Warrington Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Radcliffe Borough and 1.67 for Warrington Town.

What was the final score of Radcliffe Borough vs Warrington Town?

Radcliffe Borough 1-2 Warrington Town in the England - Conference on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radcliffe Borough vs Warrington Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Warrington Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Radcliffe Borough 32%, draw 29%, Warrington Town 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Warrington Town), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Warrington Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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