Aveley 0-1 Chippenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
39%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.28
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.59
6+ Goals
12%
14.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
14%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+8.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aveley EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 34%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.60/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.20
+14% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aveley
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Chippenham Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
20.01.2024 Aveley Aveley 2-2 HT 1-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
05.08.2023 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Aveley Aveley İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aveley
0-1
AWAY Chippenham Town
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aveley vs Chippenham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chippenham Town squeezed past Aveley 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Chippenham Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Aveley had 41% of the ball to Chippenham Town's 59%, shots finished 9-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Chippenham Town led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aveley and 1.50 for Chippenham Town.

What was the final score of Aveley vs Chippenham Town?

Aveley 0-1 Chippenham Town in the England - Conference on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aveley vs Chippenham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chippenham Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Aveley 35%, draw 25%, Chippenham Town 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chippenham Town), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chippenham Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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