Aveley 2-2 Chippenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.9
Over 2.5
41%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.12
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.5
6+ Goals
9%
14.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 29% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+7.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
49%
+9.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
51%
-9.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.3pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aveley EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 28%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.99/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.08
+18% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +44%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
347 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aveley
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Chippenham Town
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
05.08.2023 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Aveley Aveley İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aveley
2-2
AWAY Chippenham Town
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aveley vs Chippenham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aveley and Chippenham Town shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Aveley at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aveley had 42% of the ball to Chippenham Town's 58%, shots finished 9-18.

What was the final score of Aveley vs Chippenham Town?

Aveley 2-2 Chippenham Town in the England - Conference on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aveley vs Chippenham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aveley win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Aveley 43%, draw 25%, Chippenham Town 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aveley) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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