Hereford FC 2-2 Kings Lynn Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.97
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.65
6+ Goals
10%
15.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
-0.4pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.0pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hereford FC EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Kings Lynn Town EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -1%
1.34/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.58
-15% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
343 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hereford FC
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Kings Lynn Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
05.08.2023 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
25.03.2023 Hereford FC Hereford FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town İCON
03.12.2022 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hereford FC
2-2
AWAY Kings Lynn Town
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Hereford FC vs Kings Lynn Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hereford FC and Kings Lynn Town shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Hereford FC at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Hereford FC had 61% of the ball to Kings Lynn Town's 39%, shots finished 20-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kings Lynn Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hereford FC and 1.67 for Kings Lynn Town.

What was the final score of Hereford FC vs Kings Lynn Town?

Hereford FC 2-2 Kings Lynn Town in the England - Conference on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hereford FC vs Kings Lynn Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hereford FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hereford FC 47%, draw 22%, Kings Lynn Town 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Hereford FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hereford FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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