Scarborough Athletic 1-1 Peterborough Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.62
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.11
6+ Goals
11%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-4.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Scarborough Athletic EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterborough Sports EU Bookmakers 24%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +13%
2.17/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.41
+19% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
375 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Scarborough Athletic
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Peterborough Sports
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.08.2023 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 1-0 HT 1-0 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
04.04.2023 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 0-1 HT 0-1 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
06.12.2022 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 2-1 HT 0-0 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Scarborough Athletic
1-1
AWAY Peterborough Sports
50% Ball Possession 50%
22 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Scarborough Athletic vs Peterborough Sports
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Scarborough Athletic and Peterborough Sports shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Scarborough Athletic at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Scarborough Athletic had 50% of the ball to Peterborough Sports's 50%, shots finished 22-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Scarborough Athletic had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Scarborough Athletic and 0.67 for Peterborough Sports.

What was the final score of Scarborough Athletic vs Peterborough Sports?

Scarborough Athletic 1-1 Peterborough Sports in the England - Conference on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Scarborough Athletic vs Peterborough Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated a Scarborough Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Scarborough Athletic 52%, draw 23%, Peterborough Sports 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Scarborough Athletic), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Scarborough Athletic) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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