Slough Town 2-1 Maidstone United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.32
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.32
6+ Goals
11%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 27% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
41%
+3.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slough Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
1.47/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.21
+1% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slough Town
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Maidstone United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.08.2023 Maidstone United Maidstone United 2-1 HT 1-1 Slough Town Slough Town İCON
12.03.2022 Slough Town Slough Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
06.11.2021 Maidstone United Maidstone United 0-1 HT 0-0 Slough Town Slough Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slough Town
2-1
AWAY Maidstone United
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Slough Town vs Maidstone United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slough Town edged past Maidstone United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Slough Town as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Slough Town had 49% of the ball to Maidstone United's 51%, shots finished 7-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Slough Town had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Slough Town and 1.00 for Maidstone United.

What was the final score of Slough Town vs Maidstone United?

Slough Town 2-1 Maidstone United in the England - Conference on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slough Town vs Maidstone United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slough Town win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Slough Town 44%, draw 24%, Maidstone United 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slough Town) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slough Town) ✗ Under 2.5
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