Chorley 1-0 Needham Market — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.26
6+ Goals
9%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 30% vs market 21.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
63%
-12.7pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.3pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+9.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+9.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-9.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.2pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chorley EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Needham Market EU Bookmakers 19%
+1% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
2.14/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.66
+17% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
420 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chorley
1-0
AWAY Needham Market
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Chorley vs Needham Market
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chorley squeezed past Needham Market 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chorley as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Chorley had 46% of the ball to Needham Market's 54%, shots finished 14-6.

What was the final score of Chorley vs Needham Market?

Chorley 1-0 Needham Market in the England - Conference on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chorley vs Needham Market?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chorley win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Chorley 50%, draw 25%, Needham Market 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chorley), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chorley) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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