Southport 3-0 South Shields — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.66
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.3
6+ Goals
10%
11.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-6.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+7.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.0pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southport EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY South Shields EU Bookmakers 34%
-11% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.25/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.40
-18% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southport
3W-1D-0L
AWAY South Shields
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.11.2023 Southport Southport 4-0 HT 2-0 South Shields South Shields FAK
11.11.2023 Southport Southport 1-0 HT 0-0 South Shields South Shields İCON
13.10.2020 Southport Southport 1-1 HT 1-0 South Shields South Shields FAK
17.12.2019 Southport Southport 3-1 HT 1-1 South Shields South Shields FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southport
3-0
AWAY South Shields
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Southport vs South Shields
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southport swept aside South Shields 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Southport found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Southport had 32% of the ball to South Shields's 68%, shots finished 8-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Southport had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Southport and 0.50 for South Shields.

What was the final score of Southport vs South Shields?

Southport 3-0 South Shields in the England - Conference on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southport vs South Shields?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southport win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Southport 37%, draw 26%, South Shields 37%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ BTTS Yes
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