Salisbury 0-0 Farnborough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Jan 2025

📅21/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.17
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.35
6+ Goals
11%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 27% vs market 24.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.2pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salisbury EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Farnborough EU Bookmakers 40%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -15%
0.65/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.54
-51% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salisbury
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Farnborough
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.11.2024 Salisbury Salisbury 3-0 HT 0-0 Farnborough Farnborough İNFAT
07.09.2024 Farnborough Farnborough 3-1 HT 1-0 Salisbury Salisbury İCON
26.03.2022 Salisbury Salisbury 1-0 HT 0-0 Farnborough Farnborough İNGNLP
20.11.2021 Farnborough Farnborough 2-1 HT 0-0 Salisbury Salisbury İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Salisbury vs Farnborough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salisbury and Farnborough fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Salisbury and 1.25 for Farnborough.

What was the final score of Salisbury vs Farnborough?

Salisbury 0-0 Farnborough in the England - Conference on 21/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salisbury vs Farnborough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salisbury win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Salisbury 39%, draw 25%, Farnborough 36%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Salisbury) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Salisbury) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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