Scunthorpe United 3-2 Brackley Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Jan 2025

📅21/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.35
2-3 Goals
45%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
4.52
6+ Goals
9%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.3pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.5pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Scunthorpe United EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Brackley Town EU Bookmakers 28%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +24%
1.84/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.13
+23% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +31%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
329 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Scunthorpe United
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Brackley Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.08.2024 Brackley Town Brackley Town 0-3 HT 0-1 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İCON
13.01.2024 Brackley Town Brackley Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İCON
07.10.2023 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 1-0 HT 0-0 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
19.09.2023 Brackley Town Brackley Town 3-1 HT 0-1 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United FAK
16.09.2023 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 0-0 Brackley Town Brackley Town FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Scunthorpe United
3-2
AWAY Brackley Town
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Scunthorpe United vs Brackley Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Scunthorpe United squeezed past Brackley Town 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Scunthorpe United as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Scunthorpe United had 53% of the ball to Brackley Town's 47%, shots finished 10-3.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Scunthorpe United and 1.00 for Brackley Town.

What was the final score of Scunthorpe United vs Brackley Town?

Scunthorpe United 3-2 Brackley Town in the England - Conference on 21/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Scunthorpe United vs Brackley Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Scunthorpe United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Scunthorpe United 43%, draw 27%, Brackley Town 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Scunthorpe United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Scunthorpe United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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