Brackley Town 0-3 Scunthorpe United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
30%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.65
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.42
6+ Goals
8%
23.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.65 — our 35% vs market 31.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+5.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-5.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.7pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brackley Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Scunthorpe United EU Bookmakers 39%
+23% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.28/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.38/1.19
-3% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -71% / +11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brackley Town
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Scunthorpe United
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.01.2024 Brackley Town Brackley Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İCON
07.10.2023 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 1-0 HT 0-0 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
19.09.2023 Brackley Town Brackley Town 3-1 HT 0-1 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United FAK
16.09.2023 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 0-0 Brackley Town Brackley Town FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brackley Town
0-3
AWAY Scunthorpe United
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brackley Town vs Scunthorpe United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Scunthorpe United ran out comfortable winners over Brackley Town 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Brackley Town at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Brackley Town had 51% of the ball to Scunthorpe United's 49%, shots finished 7-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Brackley Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Brackley Town and 0.50 for Scunthorpe United.

What was the final score of Brackley Town vs Scunthorpe United?

Brackley Town 0-3 Scunthorpe United in the England - Conference on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brackley Town vs Scunthorpe United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brackley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Brackley Town 41%, draw 29%, Scunthorpe United 30%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Brackley Town), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brackley Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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