Brackley Town 2-0 Scunthorpe United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
4.11
6+ Goals
8%
20.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.63 — our 33% vs market 30.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
22%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
30%
+6.1pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.5pp
42%
Away Win
42%
-0.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brackley Town EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Scunthorpe United EU Bookmakers 46%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.87/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/0.98
-34% / +97% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +29%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
236 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brackley Town
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Scunthorpe United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 1-0 HT 0-0 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
19.09.2023 Brackley Town Brackley Town 3-1 HT 0-1 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United FAK
16.09.2023 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 0-0 Brackley Town Brackley Town FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brackley Town
2-0
AWAY Scunthorpe United
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brackley Town vs Scunthorpe United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brackley Town got the better of Scunthorpe United 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 22% / 42%) promised a tight game; Brackley Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Brackley Town had 40% of the ball to Scunthorpe United's 60%, shots finished 13-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Brackley Town and 0.67 for Scunthorpe United.

What was the final score of Brackley Town vs Scunthorpe United?

Brackley Town 2-0 Scunthorpe United in the England - Conference on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brackley Town vs Scunthorpe United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Scunthorpe United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Brackley Town 37%, draw 22%, Scunthorpe United 42%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Scunthorpe United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Scunthorpe United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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