Blyth Spartans 2-2 Banbury United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.79
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.03
6+ Goals
10%
9.89
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.79 — our 26% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+7.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.0pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blyth Spartans EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Banbury United EU Bookmakers 26%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +24%
3.32/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.43
+82% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
375 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blyth Spartans
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Banbury United
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
57% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
07.10.2023 Banbury United Banbury United 0-0 HT 0-0 Blyth Spartans Blyth Spartans İCON
01.04.2023 Banbury United Banbury United 0-0 HT 0-0 Blyth Spartans Blyth Spartans İCON
08.10.2022 Blyth Spartans Blyth Spartans 1-1 HT 0-0 Banbury United Banbury United İCON
POST-MATCH Blyth Spartans vs Banbury United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blyth Spartans and Banbury United couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Blyth Spartans at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Blyth Spartans and 0.33 for Banbury United.

What was the final score of Blyth Spartans vs Banbury United?

Blyth Spartans 2-2 Banbury United in the England - Conference on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blyth Spartans vs Banbury United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blyth Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Blyth Spartans 45%, draw 25%, Banbury United 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Blyth Spartans), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Blyth Spartans) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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