Boston United 1-1 Curzon Ashton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.01
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.6
6+ Goals
9%
15.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 29% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+2.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.7pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boston United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +25%
1.72/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.21
+10% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boston United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Curzon Ashton
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.10.2023 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 3-1 HT 2-0 Boston United Boston United İCON
22.04.2023 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 2-2 HT 1-2 Boston United Boston United İCON
22.10.2022 Boston United Boston United 0-1 HT 0-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
09.04.2022 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 0-4 HT 0-3 Boston United Boston United İCON
28.08.2021 Boston United Boston United 2-1 HT 1-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
07.03.2020 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 1-1 HT 0-1 Boston United Boston United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boston United
1-1
AWAY Curzon Ashton
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Boston United vs Curzon Ashton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boston United and Curzon Ashton couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Boston United at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Boston United had 53% of the ball to Curzon Ashton's 47%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Boston United and 1.33 for Curzon Ashton.

What was the final score of Boston United vs Curzon Ashton?

Boston United 1-1 Curzon Ashton in the England - Conference on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boston United vs Curzon Ashton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boston United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Boston United 48%, draw 25%, Curzon Ashton 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Boston United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boston United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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