Taunton Town 1-1 Dover Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.82
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.77
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.9
6+ Goals
9%
18.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-8.6pp
32%
Draw
25%
+6.9pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.7pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Taunton Town EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Dover Athletic EU Bookmakers 28%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +0%
1.07/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.37
-37% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
351 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Taunton Town
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Dover Athletic
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
07.10.2023 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic 2-2 HT 1-2 Taunton Town Taunton Town İCON
25.02.2023 Taunton Town Taunton Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic İCON
10.01.2023 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Taunton Town Taunton Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Taunton Town
1-1
AWAY Dover Athletic
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Taunton Town vs Dover Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Taunton Town and Dover Athletic shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Taunton Town at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Taunton Town had 54% of the ball to Dover Athletic's 46%, shots finished 11-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Dover Athletic led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Taunton Town and 1.33 for Dover Athletic.

What was the final score of Taunton Town vs Dover Athletic?

Taunton Town 1-1 Dover Athletic in the England - Conference on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Taunton Town vs Dover Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Taunton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Taunton Town 42%, draw 32%, Dover Athletic 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Taunton Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Taunton Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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