Chester 3-0 Gloucester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.67
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.09
6+ Goals
10%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.67 — our 28% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
62%
-8.3pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.0pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+3.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chester EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Gloucester City EU Bookmakers 20%
-4% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.59/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.66
-17% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +11%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
415 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chester
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Gloucester City
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.02.2023 Gloucester City Gloucester City 1-1 HT 0-0 Chester Chester İCON
25.10.2022 Chester Chester 1-1 HT 0-1 Gloucester City Gloucester City İCON
22.03.2022 Gloucester City Gloucester City 3-3 HT 1-3 Chester Chester İCON
26.10.2021 Chester Chester 3-2 HT 1-0 Gloucester City Gloucester City İCON
31.10.2020 Gloucester City Gloucester City 2-1 HT 0-0 Chester Chester İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chester
3-0
AWAY Gloucester City
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 0
11 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chester vs Gloucester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chester swept aside Gloucester City 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Chester as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Chester had 67% of the ball to Gloucester City's 33%, shots finished 15-2.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Chester and 1.80 for Gloucester City.

What was the final score of Chester vs Gloucester City?

Chester 3-0 Gloucester City in the England - Conference on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chester vs Gloucester City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chester win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Chester 53%, draw 27%, Gloucester City 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chester), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chester) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
13 Jan 2024
18:00 Blyth Spartans vs Banbury United Analysis →
18:00 Taunton Town vs Dover Athletic Analysis →
18:00 Buxton vs Kings Lynn Town Analysis →
18:00 Boston United vs Curzon Ashton Analysis →
18:00 Rushall Olympic vs Spennymoor Town Analysis →
18:00 Warrington Town vs Alfreton Town Analysis →