Kidderminster Harriers 0-1 Darlington 1883 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Jan 2025

📅21/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.49
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.74
Over 2.5
38%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.73
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
3.83
6+ Goals
7%
17.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 32% vs market 29.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
62%
-16.0pp
30%
Draw
22%
+7.4pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+8.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
54%
+8.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
46%
-8.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.1pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kidderminster Harriers EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Darlington 1883 EU Bookmakers 19%
-12% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -18%
1.78/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/2.49
-4% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -30%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
432 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kidderminster Harriers
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Darlington 1883
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-2 HT 0-1 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
25.02.2023 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 0-0 HT 0-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
05.11.2022 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 1-2 HT 0-1 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
07.05.2022 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 1-0 HT 0-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
15.01.2022 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 0-1 HT 0-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
10.10.2020 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-3 HT 1-2 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kidderminster Harriers
0-1
AWAY Darlington 1883
60% Ball Possession 40%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kidderminster Harriers vs Darlington 1883
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darlington 1883 nicked a narrow win over Kidderminster Harriers 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kidderminster Harriers at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Kidderminster Harriers had 60% of the ball to Darlington 1883's 40%, shots finished 6-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kidderminster Harriers had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kidderminster Harriers and 0.67 for Darlington 1883.

What was the final score of Kidderminster Harriers vs Darlington 1883?

Kidderminster Harriers 0-1 Darlington 1883 in the England - Conference on 21/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kidderminster Harriers vs Darlington 1883?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kidderminster Harriers win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kidderminster Harriers 46%, draw 30%, Darlington 1883 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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