Darlington 1883 1-2 Kidderminster Harriers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.19
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.68
6+ Goals
8%
15.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 29% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-0.9pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.4pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-2.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.6pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darlington 1883 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +20%
1.12/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.79
-14% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +56%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
295 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darlington 1883
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.02.2023 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 0-0 HT 0-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
05.11.2022 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 1-2 HT 0-1 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
07.05.2022 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 1-0 HT 0-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
15.01.2022 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 0-1 HT 0-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
10.10.2020 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-3 HT 1-2 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
08.02.2020 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 1-1 HT 0-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darlington 1883
1-2
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Darlington 1883 vs Kidderminster Harriers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kidderminster Harriers edged past Darlington 1883 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kidderminster Harriers as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Darlington 1883 had 44% of the ball to Kidderminster Harriers's 56%, shots finished 10-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kidderminster Harriers led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Darlington 1883 and 1.17 for Kidderminster Harriers.

What was the final score of Darlington 1883 vs Kidderminster Harriers?

Darlington 1883 1-2 Kidderminster Harriers in the England - Conference on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darlington 1883 vs Kidderminster Harriers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kidderminster Harriers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Darlington 1883 28%, draw 30%, Kidderminster Harriers 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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