Chippenham Town 2-3 Worthing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Jan 2025

📅21/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.08
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
39%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.81
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
2.94
6+ Goals
12%
9.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
29%
+9.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
39%
Away Win
46%
-7.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.1pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Worthing EU Bookmakers 50%
+13% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +20%
1.59/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.39
+24% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
236 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chippenham Town
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Worthing
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 3-1 HT 1-0 Worthing Worthing İCON
02.12.2023 Worthing Worthing 3-1 HT 0-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
28.02.2023 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Worthing Worthing İCON
20.08.2022 Worthing Worthing 0-0 HT 0-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chippenham Town
2-3
AWAY Worthing
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Chippenham Town vs Worthing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worthing nicked a narrow win over Chippenham Town 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 39%) promised a tight game; Worthing found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Chippenham Town had 47% of the ball to Worthing's 53%, shots finished 14-15.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Chippenham Town and 1.25 for Worthing.

What was the final score of Chippenham Town vs Worthing?

Chippenham Town 2-3 Worthing in the England - Conference on 21/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chippenham Town vs Worthing?

Before kick-off our model rated an Worthing win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chippenham Town 38%, draw 24%, Worthing 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Worthing), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Worthing) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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