Chippenham Town 3-1 Worthing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
45%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.29
Over 2.5
48%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.66
2-3 Goals
42%
1.91
4-5 Goals
21%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
7.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.1pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.9pp
45%
Away Win
53%
-7.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
40%
+12.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
60%
-12.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.9pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Worthing EU Bookmakers 57%
+6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.37/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.78
+11% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -40%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chippenham Town
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Worthing
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
02.12.2023 Worthing Worthing 3-1 HT 0-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
28.02.2023 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Worthing Worthing İCON
20.08.2022 Worthing Worthing 0-0 HT 0-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chippenham Town
3-1
AWAY Worthing
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chippenham Town vs Worthing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chippenham Town beat Worthing 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Worthing at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Chippenham Town had 43% of the ball to Worthing's 57%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Worthing led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Chippenham Town and 1.33 for Worthing.

What was the final score of Chippenham Town vs Worthing?

Chippenham Town 3-1 Worthing in the England - Conference on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chippenham Town vs Worthing?

Before kick-off our model rated an Worthing win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Chippenham Town 28%, draw 27%, Worthing 45%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Worthing), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Worthing) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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