Boston United 3-0 Farsley AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 16 Mar 2024

Boston United
3-0 HT 1-0
Farsley AFC
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2023/2024

Boston United vs Farsley AFC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.67
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.29
6+ Goals
9%
11.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.67 — our 29% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
60%
-10.3pp
28%
Draw
22%
+6.0pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Boston United v Farsley AFC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boston United EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Farsley AFC EU Bookmakers 21%
+9% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +15%
2.01/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.72
+8% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
374 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

Boston United vs Farsley AFC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boston United
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Farsley AFC
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.11.2023 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 2-0 HT 1-0 Boston United Boston United İCON
07.04.2023 Boston United Boston United 4-0 HT 2-0 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
27.09.2022 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 0-2 HT 0-2 Boston United Boston United İCON
07.05.2022 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 0-2 HT 0-1 Boston United Boston United İCON
25.01.2022 Boston United Boston United 3-0 HT 1-0 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
28.12.2020 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 0-4 HT 0-1 Boston United Boston United İCON

Boston United 3-0 Farsley AFC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boston United
3-0
AWAY Farsley AFC
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Boston United vs Farsley AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boston United ran out comfortable winners over Farsley AFC 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Boston United as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Boston United had 58% of the ball to Farsley AFC's 42%, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boston United had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Boston United and 0.33 for Farsley AFC.

What was the final score of Boston United vs Farsley AFC?

Boston United 3-0 Farsley AFC in the England - Conference on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boston United vs Farsley AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boston United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Boston United 49%, draw 28%, Farsley AFC 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boston United), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Boston United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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