Dartford 0-2 Maidstone United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.26
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.61
6+ Goals
10%
14.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 30% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+4.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.9pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dartford EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 49%
+6% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -24%
1.66/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.56
+28% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
264 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dartford
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Maidstone United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.01.2024 Maidstone United Maidstone United 2-1 HT 0-1 Dartford Dartford İCON
18.11.2023 Dartford Dartford 0-1 HT 0-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United FAK
18.04.2022 Dartford Dartford 0-1 HT 0-1 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
11.12.2021 Maidstone United Maidstone United 4-0 HT 2-0 Dartford Dartford İCON
02.10.2021 Maidstone United Maidstone United 0-3 HT 0-1 Dartford Dartford FAK
14.11.2020 Maidstone United Maidstone United 0-2 HT 0-0 Dartford Dartford İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dartford
0-2
AWAY Maidstone United
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dartford vs Maidstone United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidstone United got the better of Dartford 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Maidstone United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dartford had 38% of the ball to Maidstone United's 62%, shots finished 7-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maidstone United led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dartford and 1.33 for Maidstone United.

What was the final score of Dartford vs Maidstone United?

Dartford 0-2 Maidstone United in the England - Conference on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dartford vs Maidstone United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maidstone United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dartford 33%, draw 27%, Maidstone United 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maidstone United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Maidstone United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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