Maidstone United 2-1 Dartford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 9 Jan 2024

Maidstone United
2-1 HT 0-1
Dartford
📅09/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2023/2024

Maidstone United vs Dartford Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.38
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.27
6+ Goals
9%
12.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 28% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.4pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Maidstone United v Dartford — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Dartford EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -5%
1.77/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.32
+4% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5

Maidstone United vs Dartford Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidstone United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Dartford
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.11.2023 Dartford Dartford 0-1 HT 0-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United FAK
18.04.2022 Dartford Dartford 0-1 HT 0-1 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
11.12.2021 Maidstone United Maidstone United 4-0 HT 2-0 Dartford Dartford İCON
02.10.2021 Maidstone United Maidstone United 0-3 HT 0-1 Dartford Dartford FAK
14.11.2020 Maidstone United Maidstone United 0-2 HT 0-0 Dartford Dartford İCON
16.11.2019 Dartford Dartford 2-2 HT 0-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON

Maidstone United 2-1 Dartford — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidstone United
2-1
AWAY Dartford
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Maidstone United vs Dartford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidstone United squeezed past Dartford 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Maidstone United as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Maidstone United had 46% of the ball to Dartford's 54%, shots finished 13-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maidstone United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Maidstone United and 1.17 for Dartford.

What was the final score of Maidstone United vs Dartford?

Maidstone United 2-1 Dartford in the England - Conference on 09/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidstone United vs Dartford?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maidstone United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Maidstone United 44%, draw 28%, Dartford 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maidstone United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maidstone United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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