Southport 2-0 Darlington 1883 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 9 Jan 2024

📅09/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.44
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.49
6+ Goals
9%
24.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southport EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Darlington 1883 EU Bookmakers 34%
-16% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +14%
0.77/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.03
-48% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +37%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
406 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southport
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Darlington 1883
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.01.2023 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 0-0 HT 0-0 Southport Southport İCON
16.08.2022 Southport Southport 1-0 HT 1-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
22.03.2022 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-0 HT 1-0 Southport Southport İCON
30.11.2021 Southport Southport 1-1 HT 1-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 FAK
26.10.2021 Southport Southport 3-0 HT 2-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southport
2-0
AWAY Darlington 1883
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Southport vs Darlington 1883
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southport beat Darlington 1883 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Southport made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Southport had 45% of the ball to Darlington 1883's 55%, shots finished 9-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Southport had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Southport and 0.40 for Darlington 1883.

What was the final score of Southport vs Darlington 1883?

Southport 2-0 Darlington 1883 in the England - Conference on 09/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southport vs Darlington 1883?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southport win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Southport 38%, draw 29%, Darlington 1883 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southport), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Southport) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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