Warrington Town 0-3 Tamworth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 9 Jan 2024

📅09/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
37%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.31
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.33
6+ Goals
10%
12.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 29% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
29%
+7.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
37%
Away Win
46%
-8.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.6pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Warrington Town EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Tamworth EU Bookmakers 49%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.21/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.01
+68% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +25%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
274 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Warrington Town
0-3
AWAY Tamworth
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Warrington Town vs Tamworth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tamworth cruised past Warrington Town 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Tamworth made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Warrington Town had 48% of the ball to Tamworth's 52%, shots finished 5-18.

What was the final score of Warrington Town vs Tamworth?

Warrington Town 0-3 Tamworth in the England - Conference on 09/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Warrington Town vs Tamworth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Warrington Town win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Warrington Town 37%, draw 27%, Tamworth 37%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/27/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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