Warrington Town 1-2 Gloucester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.61
No
55%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.57
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.88
6+ Goals
11%
8.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-3.5pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.0pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.5pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Warrington Town EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Gloucester City EU Bookmakers 24%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
0.74/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.72
-59% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Warrington Town
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Gloucester City
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
5 Corners 7
04.11.2023 Gloucester City Gloucester City 1-3 HT 0-2 Warrington Town Warrington Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Warrington Town
1-2
AWAY Gloucester City
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Warrington Town vs Gloucester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gloucester City nicked a narrow win over Warrington Town 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Warrington Town at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Warrington Town had 49% of the ball to Gloucester City's 51%, shots finished 17-9.

What was the final score of Warrington Town vs Gloucester City?

Warrington Town 1-2 Gloucester City in the England - Conference on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Warrington Town vs Gloucester City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Warrington Town win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Warrington Town 53%, draw 22%, Gloucester City 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Warrington Town), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Warrington Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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