Brackley Town 2-0 Hereford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.95
No
46%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.63
2-3 Goals
46%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.45
6+ Goals
8%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.0pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brackley Town EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Hereford FC EU Bookmakers 30%
+10% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.43/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.62
-7% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brackley Town
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hereford FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.11.2023 Hereford FC Hereford FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
10.04.2023 Hereford FC Hereford FC 2-2 HT 2-1 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
13.09.2022 Brackley Town Brackley Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
02.05.2022 Hereford FC Hereford FC 2-2 HT 0-2 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
08.01.2022 Brackley Town Brackley Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
16.02.2021 Hereford FC Hereford FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brackley Town
2-0
AWAY Hereford FC
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Brackley Town vs Hereford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brackley Town saw off Hereford FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Brackley Town as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Brackley Town had 46% of the ball to Hereford FC's 54%, shots finished 16-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Brackley Town and 1.33 for Hereford FC.

What was the final score of Brackley Town vs Hereford FC?

Brackley Town 2-0 Hereford FC in the England - Conference on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brackley Town vs Hereford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brackley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Brackley Town 45%, draw 29%, Hereford FC 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brackley Town), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brackley Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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