Weymouth 0-1 Braintree Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.36
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.52
6+ Goals
11%
13.8
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.52 — our 26% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-2.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.1pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weymouth EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Braintree Town EU Bookmakers 48%
-7% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.53/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.26
+17% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
253 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weymouth
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Braintree Town
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.03.2023 Braintree Town Braintree Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
12.11.2022 Weymouth Weymouth 1-0 HT 0-0 Braintree Town Braintree Town İCON
01.02.2020 Braintree Town Braintree Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
26.10.2019 Weymouth Weymouth 3-0 HT 1-0 Braintree Town Braintree Town İCON
POST-MATCH Weymouth vs Braintree Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Braintree Town squeezed past Weymouth 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Braintree Town as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Weymouth had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Weymouth and 0.25 for Braintree Town.

What was the final score of Weymouth vs Braintree Town?

Weymouth 0-1 Braintree Town in the England - Conference on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weymouth vs Braintree Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Braintree Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Weymouth 32%, draw 26%, Braintree Town 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Braintree Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Braintree Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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