Ascoli 3-1 Rossoblu Potenza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Cup, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.61
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.75
Over 2.5
58%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.99
No
43%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
26%
3.84
6+ Goals
13%
17.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.84 — our 26% vs market 20.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
2.06
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.0
X/1
13%
3.93
X/2
10%
10.65
X/X
11%
4.96
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
25.0
2/2
8%
9.3
2/X
4%
18.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.0 — our 11% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
58%
-0.1pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.9pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
53%
-10.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
47%
+10.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
46%
+10.7pp
43%
BTTS No
54%
-10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ascoli EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Rossoblu Potenza EU Bookmakers 21%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
3.40/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
+58% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -36%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ascoli
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Rossoblu Potenza
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
20.05.2026 Ascoli Ascoli 1-0 HT 0-0 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza İTC
17.05.2026 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza 0-0 HT 0-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTC
POST-MATCH Ascoli vs Rossoblu Potenza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ascoli beat Rossoblu Potenza 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ascoli as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ascoli had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ascoli and 0.00 for Rossoblu Potenza.

What was the final score of Ascoli vs Rossoblu Potenza?

Ascoli 3-1 Rossoblu Potenza in the Italy - Cup on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ascoli vs Rossoblu Potenza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ascoli win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Ascoli 58%, draw 20%, Rossoblu Potenza 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ascoli), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ascoli) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İTK More Italy - Cup
8 Aug 2026
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