Ascoli 1-0 Rossoblu Potenza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 20 May 2026

📅20/05/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.43
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.56
2-3 Goals
36%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.05
6+ Goals
11%
10.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 29% vs market 21.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
65%
-2.0pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.4pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+3.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ascoli EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Rossoblu Potenza EU Bookmakers 17%
-5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
1.73/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.81
+4% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
369 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ascoli
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Rossoblu Potenza
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2026 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza 0-0 HT 0-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ascoli
1-0
AWAY Rossoblu Potenza
61% Ball Possession 39%
22 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ascoli vs Rossoblu Potenza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ascoli squeezed past Rossoblu Potenza 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ascoli as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ascoli had 61% of the ball to Rossoblu Potenza's 39%, shots finished 22-5.

What was the final score of Ascoli vs Rossoblu Potenza?

Ascoli 1-0 Rossoblu Potenza in the Italy - Serie C on 20/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ascoli vs Rossoblu Potenza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ascoli win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Ascoli 63%, draw 19%, Rossoblu Potenza 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ascoli), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ascoli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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