Catania 3-3 Lecco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 20 May 2026

📅20/05/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.19
No
50%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.4
2-3 Goals
44%
1.7
4-5 Goals
16%
4.36
6+ Goals
9%
23.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-3.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.0pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catania EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Lecco EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -3%
1.56/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.82
+0% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
358 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catania
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Lecco
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2026 Lecco Lecco 0-0 HT 0-0 Catania Catania İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catania
3-3
AWAY Lecco
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Catania vs Lecco
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Catania and Lecco shared the points in a 3-3 draw in the Italy - Serie C on 20 May 2026. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 43% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Catania had 50% of the ball to Lecco's 50%, shots finished 16-10.

What was the final score of Catania vs Lecco?

Catania 3-3 Lecco in the Italy - Serie C on 20/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catania vs Lecco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Catania win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Catania 53%, draw 25%, Lecco 22%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Catania) ✗ Under 2.5
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