Atletico Rafaela 1-0 Chacarita Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.44
No
53%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.4pp
33%
Draw
33%
+0.0pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-1.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
37%
+9.8pp
53%
BTTS No
63%
-9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Rafaela EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Chacarita Juniors EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -5%
1.16/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.08
+5% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
303 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Rafaela
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Chacarita Juniors
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
22.03.2026 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
15.10.2023 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 1-1 HT 0-1 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
03.06.2023 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 3-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
23.07.2022 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 3-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
03.12.2019 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 2-0 HT 0-0 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Atletico Rafaela vs Chacarita Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Rafaela squeezed past Chacarita Juniors 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Rafaela as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletico Rafaela and 1.40 for Chacarita Juniors.

What was the final score of Atletico Rafaela vs Chacarita Juniors?

Atletico Rafaela 1-0 Chacarita Juniors in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Rafaela vs Chacarita Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Rafaela win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Atletico Rafaela 42%, draw 33%, Chacarita Juniors 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Rafaela), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Rafaela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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