Independiente Rivadavia 2-1 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒03:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.49
Draw
17%
3.8
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.62
Over 2.5
52%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.44
No
51%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.48
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
4.51
6+ Goals
7%
24.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.86
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
7%
19.1
X/1
16%
3.62
X/2
7%
13.4
X/X
6%
4.74
2/1
14%
29.5
2/2
8%
13.0
2/X
4%
22.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
63%
+1.6pp
17%
Draw
24%
-6.0pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+4.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
58%
-9.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
42%
+9.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
37%
+11.7pp
51%
BTTS No
63%
-11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Rivadavia EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes Rio Cuarto EU Bookmakers 16%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.09/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.81
-14% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -83% / -32%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
385 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 71%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
36.6 Crosses 18.2
4.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Rivadavia
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
243 Passes 228
66% Pass Accuracy 66%
10.02.2026 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJ
18.09.2022 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 4-1 HT 1-0 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJPBN
22.02.2020 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto ARJPBN
01.09.2019 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 3-1 HT 0-1 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Rivadavia
2-1
AWAY Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
2.58 xG 0.53
19 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
462 Passes 213
24 Box Touches 9
26 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Independiente Rivadavia vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Rivadavia squeezed past Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Independiente Rivadavia as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 2.58 to 0.53 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Independiente Rivadavia's control.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Estudiantes Rio Cuarto led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Independiente Rivadavia and 1.75 for Estudiantes Rio Cuarto.

What was the final score of Independiente Rivadavia vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto?

Independiente Rivadavia 2-1 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto in the Argentina - Premier League on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Rivadavia vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Rivadavia win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Independiente Rivadavia 65%, draw 17%, Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Rivadavia), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Rivadavia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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