Atletico Tucuman 1-2 CA Sarmiento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.28
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
5.04
6+ Goals
9%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.48
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.55
X/1
16%
4.2
X/2
10%
9.04
X/X
15%
3.79
2/1
12%
31.0
2/2
8%
8.09
2/X
6%
16.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-2.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.3pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Tucuman EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Sarmiento EU Bookmakers 23%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +9%
1.42/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.43
+7% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -16%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 67%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
23.8 Crosses 17.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Tucuman
3W-1D-2L
AWAY CA Sarmiento
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.90 xG 1.21
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
316 Passes 198
77% Pass Accuracy 69%
23 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.02.2026 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 2-1 HT 2-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
19.08.2025 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 2-2 HT 2-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
14.02.2025 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 5-0 HT 4-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
05.11.2024 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-0 HT 1-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
26.06.2023 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 4-1 HT 3-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
20.07.2022 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-0 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Tucuman
1-2
AWAY CA Sarmiento
0.64 xG 1.41
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
13 Corners 4
226 Passes 171
29 Box Touches 14
33 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Tucuman vs CA Sarmiento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Sarmiento squeezed past Atletico Tucuman 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Tucuman at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.64 to 1.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Tucuman had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Atletico Tucuman and 1.33 for CA Sarmiento.

What was the final score of Atletico Tucuman vs CA Sarmiento?

Atletico Tucuman 1-2 CA Sarmiento in the Argentina - Premier League on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Tucuman vs CA Sarmiento?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Tucuman win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Atletico Tucuman 49%, draw 28%, CA Sarmiento 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Tucuman) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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