CA Sarmiento 2-1 Atletico Tucuman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 8 Feb 2026

📅08/02/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.45
Over 2.5
42%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.12
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
5.75
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.12
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.2
X/1
14%
5.43
X/2
12%
5.72
X/X
15%
3.45
2/1
11%
35.0
2/2
11%
4.48
2/X
8%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+2.7pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.4pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
65%
-7.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
35%
+7.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.0pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Sarmiento EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Tucuman EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -23%
1.25/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.42
+7% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
20.0 Crosses 17.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Sarmiento
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Atletico Tucuman
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.10 xG 1.72
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
198 Passes 325
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.08.2025 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 2-2 HT 2-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
14.02.2025 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 5-0 HT 4-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
05.11.2024 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-0 HT 1-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
26.06.2023 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 4-1 HT 3-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
20.07.2022 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-0 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
11.02.2022 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Sarmiento
2-1
AWAY Atletico Tucuman
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
206 Passes 199
69% Pass Accuracy 66%
POST-MATCH CA Sarmiento vs Atletico Tucuman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Sarmiento squeezed past Atletico Tucuman 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day CA Sarmiento made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CA Sarmiento had 49% of the ball to Atletico Tucuman's 51%, shots finished 11-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Tucuman led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for CA Sarmiento and 1.67 for Atletico Tucuman.

What was the final score of CA Sarmiento vs Atletico Tucuman?

CA Sarmiento 2-1 Atletico Tucuman in the Argentina - Premier League on 08/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Sarmiento vs Atletico Tucuman?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA Sarmiento win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split CA Sarmiento 39%, draw 30%, Atletico Tucuman 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Sarmiento) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CA Sarmiento) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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