Atletico Tucuman 5-0 CA Sarmiento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 14 Feb 2025

📅14/02/2025 · 🕒04:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.13
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
5.18
6+ Goals
9%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.52
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.55
X/1
15%
4.01
X/2
8%
8.45
X/X
18%
3.82
2/1
12%
31.0
2/2
11%
7.76
2/X
6%
17.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-7.6pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.4pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.1pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Tucuman EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Sarmiento EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
1.39/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.34
-12% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +3%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
342 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 199 · 65%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
23.8 Crosses 18.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Tucuman
3W-0D-3L
AWAY CA Sarmiento
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.35 xG 1.02
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
311 Passes 194
74% Pass Accuracy 65%
23 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2024 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-0 HT 1-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
26.06.2023 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 4-1 HT 3-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
20.07.2022 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-0 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
11.02.2022 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
21.08.2021 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 3-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
03.04.2021 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 1-2 HT 1-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Tucuman
5-0
AWAY CA Sarmiento
2.98 xG 1.45
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
299 Passes 232
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Tucuman vs CA Sarmiento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Tucuman swept aside CA Sarmiento 5-0. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico Tucuman as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Atletico Tucuman had 54% of the ball to CA Sarmiento's 46%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 2.98 to 1.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Atletico Tucuman and 1.50 for CA Sarmiento.

What was the final score of Atletico Tucuman vs CA Sarmiento?

Atletico Tucuman 5-0 CA Sarmiento in the Argentina - Premier League on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Tucuman vs CA Sarmiento?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Tucuman win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Atletico Tucuman 43%, draw 31%, CA Sarmiento 25%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Tucuman), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Tucuman) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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