San Lorenzo 2-1 Platense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 14 Feb 2025

📅14/02/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
38%
2.58
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.18
Over 2.5
35%
4.58
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.95
No
63%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
1.46
2-3 Goals
38%
2.05
4-5 Goals
10%
11.5
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.96
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.5
X/1
6%
4.7
X/2
13%
6.31
X/X
28%
2.52
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
7%
6.09
2/X
5%
18.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-3.1pp
38%
Draw
36%
+2.3pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
82%
-16.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
18%
+16.8pp
37%
BTTS Yes
30%
+7.5pp
63%
BTTS No
70%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Lorenzo EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Platense EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.02/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.19
-17% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
239 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 82%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
21.5 Crosses 19.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Lorenzo
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Platense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.80 xG 0.55
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
330 Passes 251
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
15 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2024 Platense Platense 1-2 HT 1-1 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
10.03.2024 Platense Platense 0-0 HT 0-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
27.10.2023 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-1 HT 0-0 Platense Platense ARJ
27.07.2023 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 0-0 HT 0-0 Platense Platense ARJK
23.04.2023 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-0 HT 0-0 Platense Platense ARJ
17.08.2022 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 2-0 HT 1-0 Platense Platense ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Lorenzo
2-1
AWAY Platense
3.28 xG 0.44
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
324 Passes 209
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
27 Box Touches 8
23 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH San Lorenzo vs Platense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Lorenzo squeezed past Platense 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 38% / 27%) promised a tight game; San Lorenzo found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, San Lorenzo had 58% of the ball to Platense's 42%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 3.28 to 0.44 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold San Lorenzo's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Lorenzo had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for San Lorenzo and 0.33 for Platense.

What was the final score of San Lorenzo vs Platense?

San Lorenzo 2-1 Platense in the Argentina - Premier League on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Lorenzo vs Platense?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split San Lorenzo 35%, draw 38%, Platense 27%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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