Newells Old Boys vs Defensa y Justicia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newells Old Boys v Defensa y Justicia — Team-Based Signals
Newells Old Boys vs Defensa y Justicia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Defensa y Justicia
ARJ
Newells Old Boys 2-3 Defensa y Justicia — Actual Match Statistics
Defensa y Justicia nicked a narrow win over Newells Old Boys 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Newells Old Boys at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Newells Old Boys had 58% of the ball to Defensa y Justicia's 42%, shots finished 23-4.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newells Old Boys had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Newells Old Boys and 0.50 for Defensa y Justicia.
What was the final score of Newells Old Boys vs Defensa y Justicia?
Newells Old Boys 2-3 Defensa y Justicia in the Argentina - Premier League on 08/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newells Old Boys vs Defensa y Justicia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Newells Old Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Newells Old Boys 41%, draw 30%, Defensa y Justicia 29%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.