River Plate 1-4 Atletico Tigre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 8 Feb 2026

📅08/02/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.36
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.89
6+ Goals
9%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.21
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
16.85
X/1
16%
3.87
X/2
5%
10.35
X/X
11%
4.28
2/1
12%
29.5
2/2
11%
9.64
2/X
6%
19.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
57%
+0.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.9pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME River Plate EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Tigre EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +18%
1.77/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.26
+23% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +15%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
375 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 69%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
22.1 Crosses 14.1
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME River Plate
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Atletico Tigre
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.81 xG 1.10
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
440 Passes 228
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
24 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.06.2024 River Plate River Plate 3-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
19.02.2023 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 0-1 HT 0-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
28.08.2022 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 1-1 HT 0-1 River Plate River Plate ARJ
12.05.2022 River Plate River Plate 1-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
07.04.2019 River Plate River Plate 2-3 HT 1-1 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
02.10.2017 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 1-1 HT 1-1 River Plate River Plate ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME River Plate
1-4
AWAY Atletico Tigre
0.62 xG 1.53
71% Ball Possession 29%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
457 Passes 142
84% Pass Accuracy 61%
17 Box Touches 8
36 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH River Plate vs Atletico Tigre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Tigre ran out comfortable winners over River Plate 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. River Plate carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, River Plate had 71% of the ball to Atletico Tigre's 29%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 0.62 to 1.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for River Plate and 1.33 for Atletico Tigre.

What was the final score of River Plate vs Atletico Tigre?

River Plate 1-4 Atletico Tigre in the Argentina - Premier League on 08/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for River Plate vs Atletico Tigre?

Before kick-off our model rated a River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split River Plate 57%, draw 23%, Atletico Tigre 20%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (River Plate) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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