River Plate 3-1 Atletico Tigre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 3 Jun 2024

📅03/06/2024 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.22
Draw
22%
5.71
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.87
2-3 Goals
40%
1.93
4-5 Goals
23%
2.8
6+ Goals
12%
7.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.36
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
30.0
X/1
15%
3.29
X/2
4%
27.5
X/X
12%
9.18
2/1
15%
24.85
2/2
8%
22.3
2/X
5%
29.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
77%
-14.5pp
22%
Draw
14%
+7.6pp
15%
Away Win
8%
+6.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.0pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME River Plate EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Tigre EU Bookmakers 11%
-11% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.04/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.27
+3% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -5%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
447 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 69%
32.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.7
23.9 Crosses 11.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME River Plate
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Atletico Tigre
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.59 xG 0.94
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
411 Passes 234
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.02.2023 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 0-1 HT 0-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
28.08.2022 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 1-1 HT 0-1 River Plate River Plate ARJ
12.05.2022 River Plate River Plate 1-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
07.04.2019 River Plate River Plate 2-3 HT 1-1 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
02.10.2017 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 1-1 HT 1-1 River Plate River Plate ARJ
17.04.2017 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 0-2 HT 0-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME River Plate
3-1
AWAY Atletico Tigre
2.70 xG 1.77
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
456 Passes 256
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH River Plate vs Atletico Tigre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

River Plate got the better of Atletico Tigre 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had River Plate as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, River Plate had 61% of the ball to Atletico Tigre's 39%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 2.70 to 1.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for River Plate and 1.17 for Atletico Tigre.

What was the final score of River Plate vs Atletico Tigre?

River Plate 3-1 Atletico Tigre in the Argentina - Premier League on 03/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for River Plate vs Atletico Tigre?

Before kick-off our model rated a River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split River Plate 63%, draw 22%, Atletico Tigre 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (River Plate), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (River Plate) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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