Rosario Central 1-1 Lanus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 3 Jun 2024

📅03/06/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.24
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.51
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.13
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.95
X/1
17%
4.3
X/2
9%
6.48
X/X
14%
3.7
2/1
6%
32.5
2/2
17%
5.53
2/X
5%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.6pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.4pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosario Central EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Lanus EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -10%
1.41/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.21
+12% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
273 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
24.9 Crosses 16.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosario Central
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Lanus
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.15 xG 1.76
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
316 Passes 330
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2023 Lanus Lanus 3-0 HT 0-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
07.06.2022 Rosario Central Rosario Central 0-0 HT 0-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
21.04.2022 Lanus Lanus 3-1 HT 1-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
05.12.2021 Lanus Lanus 2-2 HT 1-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
09.01.2021 Lanus Lanus 2-0 HT 2-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
06.10.2019 Lanus Lanus 1-1 HT 0-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosario Central
1-1
AWAY Lanus
0.92 xG 0.09
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
395 Passes 224
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
18 Box Touches 7
28 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Rosario Central vs Lanus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosario Central and Lanus shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Rosario Central had 61% of the ball to Lanus's 39%, shots finished 17-3, expected goals 0.92 to 0.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lanus led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rosario Central and 1.83 for Lanus.

What was the final score of Rosario Central vs Lanus?

Rosario Central 1-1 Lanus in the Argentina - Premier League on 03/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosario Central vs Lanus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosario Central win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Rosario Central 39%, draw 29%, Lanus 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rosario Central), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rosario Central) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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